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German logistics companies are entering a period of limited growth, with real expansion projected at just 0.5%, according to BVL. For the first time, experts presented three scenarios, ranging from a 1.1% increase to a 0.4% contraction, highlighting economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Investment intentions remain stable, but overall sentiment is slightly negative. Key challenges include unpredictable trade policies and rising cyberattack risks. The sector is focusing on automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence to improve efficiency, strengthen resilience, and manage operational risks amid emerging pressures.
German logistics companies are preparing for a challenging period ahead, with real growth expected to be only around 0.5% year-on-year, according to a forecast released by the industry association BVL earlier this week. For the first time, logistics experts presented three separate scenarios instead of a single projection, reflecting uncertainties in the global economy and geopolitical developments. Advertisement
In the most positive scenario, the sector could achieve real growth of 1.1%, while in the most negative case, it could see a 0.4% decline. Despite these mixed prospects, investment plans within the industry remain stable, although the overall sentiment is slightly negative as companies approach the end of 2025.
Experts pointed to several factors behind this cautious outlook. Uncertain trade policies at both European and global levels continue to create concerns for logistics operators. Rising cyber threats are another major challenge, as attacks could consume a significant portion of IT budgets and disrupt operations. The sector is therefore paying close attention to strengthening cybersecurity measures and safeguarding critical systems.
To navigate these challenges, logistics companies are increasingly relying on efficiency improvements through automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence. These technologies are expected to streamline operations, reduce costs, and improve supply chain resilience. Analysts also highlight that firms adopting these innovations may better handle fluctuations in demand and external pressures in the coming months.
Source Reuters
5th Jun, 2025
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